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Finance

Proud to be IndianPress Release issued on 14th September, 2009

India Rejuvenation Initiative (IRI) is a purely non-political and social forum comprising of a few concerned and conscientious citizens working to check corruption and ensure probity in public life for the last three years. Today a day long National Workshop on Forging a Public Movement for Recovery of India’s Stolen Assets (Black Money) from Foreign Countries was organized by IRI at IIC.

You are aware that several reports have appeared in the Press in the last one year or so suggesting that Indian nationals held $1456 billion (about Rs.70 lakh crore) in secret Swiss Bank Accounts. It had also appeared in the Press that the USA, UK, Canada and Italy amongst others had earlier lodged formal requests with the German authorities for supply of details of their respective nationals who held secret accounts in Liechtenstein’s
LTG Bank.

In the light of the above, after detailed discussions, IRI sent three letters to the Prime Minister on November 14, 2008, March 25 and June 29, 2009 wherein Government of India was requested to consider taking the following steps as expeditiously as possible:

  • The UN Convention against Corruption should be ratified immediately.
  • A formal request should be lodged with the German authorities for supplying data relating to Indian nationals.
  • Proceedings should be initiated thereafter to recover stolen assets, the enormous size of which has been indicated above.

In the meantime, UBS AG, Switzerland’s largest bank, has entered into a deferred prosecution agreement with the Department of Justice, USA, paid a fine of $780 million and agreed to provide the names of about 4450 account holders who are suspected to have fraudulently evaded taxes in the United States. Several other countries like the United Kingdom, France and Germany have also come out in the open against tax evaders who have been parking their ill-gotten funds in tax havens spread across the world. It is understood that Government of India have also received 53 names from Liechtenstein’s LTG

Bank but neither the names nor details of action taken by Indian Authorities have been made public. Recently, Swiss Authorities have also reportedly told Government of India that they are not going to give names if India just throws the Telephone Directory at them! It is strange that despite Government being seized of the matter since 2008, it has, so far, not presented
specific cases to them.

Recovery of India’s public money from foreign countries especially Switzerland can go a long way in setting the country firmly on the road to becoming an economic superpower!

For instance,

  • recovery of this amount can wipe off India’s total external debt of about $222 billion
  • meet full cost of world class physical infrastructure - roads, rail, airports, ports and power
  • set up modern education and health infrastructure in the country
  • meet full cost of urban renewal, and
  • meet full costs of relocating and rebuilding 6 lakh modern villages having sewerage, piped water supply, electricity, pucca houses, schools, dispensaries etc.

After day long deliberations in the first National Workshop of its kind organized by India Rejuvenation Initiative (IRI), which was addressed, among several others, by Shri J.M.Lyngdoh (former Chief Election Commissioner), Shri Bhure Lal (former Secretary to GoI), Shri Javid Chowdhury (former Secretary to GoI), Shri J.F.Ribeiro (Former DGP, Punjab Police), Shri S.A.T.Rizvi (former Secretary to GoI) Air Chief Marshal S.Krishnaswamy (Retd.), Shri V.K.Shunglu (former CAG) Prof. Vaidyanathan (Prof. IIM), Shri B.R.Lal (Former DGP, Haryana), Shri Prashant Bhushan (Senior Advocate, SC), Prof.S.K.Dubey (former Director, IIT Kharagpur) it has been unanimously resolved that a vibrant public movement should be built to focus public attention on the systematic loot of public funds over the years and the urgent need to recover India’s public money and take steps to control illicit flow of
funds from India to foreign countries.

Towards this end, it was resolved that Government of India ought to take the following steps:

i. Strengthen the provisions under FEMA on the lines of those provided in the Prevention of Money Laundering Act and make offences under FEMA a “criminal offence”.
ii. Renegotiation of the existing “Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement”

iii. To enter into Agreements and Treaties such as Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs)
iv. Immediately ratify the UN Convention against Corruption (UNCAC)
v. Permissions to foreign financial institutions for setting up branches to operate in India should only be given subject to their firm commitment to cooperate in any of their global branches in the course of an investigation of fiscal offences in India.
vi. Take the leadership of the group of Developing Countries in demanding transparency in financial transactions in foreign countries, in the course of investigation of domestic fiscal offences.
vii. Enact Corrupt Public Servants (Forfeiture of Property) Act
viii. Prescribe procedure for confiscation of benami property under Section 8 of the Benami Transaction Prohibition Act (BTPA), 1988.
ix. Immediately pass The Public Interest Disclosure (Protection of Informers) Bill - 2009 after replacing the word „Informer‟ with „Whistleblower‟
x. Withdraw such Income Tax exemptions under Sec.10A and 10B currently available to IT exports and other exports from EEZs which lead to siphoning of funds to foreign destinations.
xi. Insistence on transparency in the beneficial ownership while allowing transactions in Promissory Notes (PNs)
xii. Take steps to check use of „black money‟ in the electoral process.
xiii. The Law Enforcement Agencies viz. CBI, Enforcement Directorate, Investigative wing of CBDT, Directorate of Revenue Intelligence, should perform their „dharma‟ without any fear and take the cases whether it is Bofors or the one relating to Hasan Ali Khan, the big time Hawala dealer, to its logical conclusion and stop forthwith the practice of intentionally taking the investigation in a direction which is a dead end.
xiv. Publish the names of individuals holding bank accounts in Leichtenstein sent by German Authorities

Since recovery of India’s stolen assets is important to our national pride, in case there is no visible ‘forward’ movement in this regard, steps will be taken to raise public awareness to the next level so that public pressure is brought to bear on both Government of India and foreign countries and particularly Swiss Government so that the country is able to recover its stolen assets and also control illicit flow of funds from India.

The Resolution of the Workshop will be forwarded to the Hon’ble Prime Minister, Union Finance Minister, Union External Affairs Minister, Union Law Minister, Chief Vigilance Commissioner and others for appropriate action. It will be our endeavour to see that the task of recovery of India’s stolen assets is not placed on the backburner and this issue does not fade away from public memory. In this task, we recognize the stellar role that can be played by the media.

We appeal to all sections of society to support this initiative!

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Warren Buffett Speaks

by yameer on September 23, 2009

in Business, Finance

Warren Buffet in a CafeWhat does it take to become a successful investor? Brilliance or Smartness?

Neither, Success in investing doesn’t correlate with I.Q. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that gets other people into trouble in investing.

When do you decide to invest in a firm?

The best thing that happens to us is when a great company gets into temporary trouble. We want to buy them when they’re on the operating table. (Mr. Buffett bought Coke when it had its biggest fiasco after launching New Coke; he bought American Express when it went through a loss making phase in the early 60’s)

What do you look for in people when they come to sell their firms to you?

I don’t look for the usual credentials such as an MBA, a pedigree (Harvard, Wharton), or cash reserves or market cap of their firm. What I look for is just a passion in their eyes; I think that’s the key. A person who is hungry will always do well. I prefer it when people even after selling stay on and work for the firm; they are people who can’t wait to get off their bed to get to work. Passion is everything; there is no replacement for innate interest.

Mr. Buffett, you told us that Berkshire Hathaway has $ 45 Billion in cash. Why aren’t you investing?

Up until a few years back I had more ideas than money. Now I have more money than ideas.

When do you plan to retire?

I love my job; I love it so much that I tap dance to work. Mrs. B, the founder of Nebraska Furniture Mark worked until she was 104, she died within 6 months of her retirement, that’s a lesson to all my managers, don’t retire! I personally am going to work 6-7 years after I die, probably that’s what they mean when they say- “Thinking out of the Box”!!

Why do stock market crashes happen?

Because of human nature for greed and insecurity. The 1970s were unbelievable. The world wasn’t going to end, but businesses were being given away. Human nature has not changed. People will always behave in a manic-depressive way over time. They will offer great values to you.”

What are the things that are taught wrong in Business school and the corporate world?

I like such open ended questions, I think Business schools should refrain from teaching their wards about profit making and profit making alone, it gives a sense of 1 dimensional outlook to the young students that loss is a curse. In reality, in the corporate world, failure and loss making are inevitable. The capital market without loss is like Christianity without hell. I think they should teach the student on how to buy a business, how to value a business? Not just on how to determine the price of a business. Because price is what you pay, value is what you get.

Do you still hate Technology stocks?

With Coke I can come up with a very rational figure for the cash it will generate in the future. But with the top 10 Internet companies, how much cash will they produce over the next 25 years? If you say you don’t know, then you don’t know what it is worth and you are speculating, not investing. All I know is that I don’t know, and if I don’t know, I don’t invest.”

How to think about Investing?

The first investment primer was written by Aesop in 600 B.C. He said, ‘A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.’ Aesop forgot to say when you get the two in the bush and what interest rates are; investing is simply figuring out your cash outlay (the bird in the hand) and comparing it to how many birds are in the bush and when you get them.”

How do you feel after donating $ 40 Billion to the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation? You are a hero to us!
I feel nothing. I haven’t sacrificed anything in life. I have had a good life. I donated after I turned 75. I think I admire those people who sacrifice their time, share their food and home, as the people to be emulated not me. Besides, what is money before a man’s life?

What do you think are the pitfalls in donation?

I have never donated a dime to churches or other such organizations; I need to believe in something before I end up doing that. I have been observing the Bill & Melinda Gates foundation for years now and I am confident they will do a fantastic job of making use of the money. I am a big believer in Outsourcing, others believed in me as an Investor and gave their hard earned money to invest. I believe in Bill Gates, he is a better donor than me.

Why do you work from Omaha and not Wall Street, New York?

Wall Street is the only place where people alight from Rolls Royce to get advised by people who use the Public transportation system.

You seem to be so well read, tell us how it all started.

My father was a stock broker, so we had all these financial books in our library. He introduced me to those classics and I got into them. I am lucky that my father was not a fan of Playboy! Reading is the best habit you can get. Well, you can learn from teachers too, and have mentors but there are so many constraints attached- they will talk fast, talk slow, they might talk like a pro or they might be terrible communicators. Books are a different animal altogether, I love reading! The beauty about reading and learning is that the more you learn the more you want to learn.

People who join Berkshire Hathaway seldom leave. How do you get along well with all your executives?

I try to get quality people. I always say - Hire someone in your organization who is better than you are. If you do that, you build a company of giants. If you get people worse than yourself, you build a company of dwarfs. And do not try to do everything yourself. Delegate the jobs and look out of the window. The results will come. That’s how you build institutions. It happens only when you empower others, believe in others.   an investor,   very secured at that, I have no clue how to make Coca-Cola or how to dole out credit cards (Mr. Buffett owns 8% of Coca-Cola and 13 % of American Express). I understand the wisdom of the aphorism that you cannot please all the people all the time. Of Course, you will always find qualities that you don’t like in people around you, but if you observe carefully the love of the work unites you both. There is no point in being obsessive about a bad quality in a person, whom you otherwise respect.

I am a small time businessman from Dallas, Texas, what do I need to do to hit big time?

Be patient, Achieving your financial goals and dreams will not happen overnight. As much as we would all really love to accomplish our goals in a few years, this is an ongoing process. Defining your financial goals is not a one-time task; you need to keep adding new plans at different stages in your life. We all admire the skills of Olympic ice skaters, pro golfers, and concert pianists. But do we remember that they didn’t acquire their skills overnight? They had to practice hours on end for years to achieve their dreams. The key to success is to continue learning throughout your life with a voracious appetite.

I think it is marvelous that you have had a golden run with investing, how did you do that ?

My rule is to be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. Besides, I call investing the greatest job in the world because you never have to swing. You stand at the plate; the pitcher throws you General Motors at 47! U.S. Steel at 39! And nobody calls a strike on you. There’s no penalty except opportunity lost. All day you wait for the pitch you like; then when the fielders are asleep, you step up and hit it. Stay dispassionate and be patient. You’re dealing with a lot of silly people in the marketplace; it’s like a great big casino and everyone else is boozing. If you can stick with drinking Coke, you should be OK. First the crowd is boozy on optimism and buying every new issue in sight. The next moment it is boozy on pessimism, buying gold bars and predicting another Great Depression, most people get interested in stocks when everyone else is. The time to get interested is when no one else is. You can’t buy what is popular and do well.

Mr. Buffett you have seen so many crashes and recessions, your take on facing recessions and stock market crashes ?

If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians. Every scenario is different. But always remember, Tough times do not last. Tough people do.

What is the biggest advice you would impart to a young investor like me ?

Think for a moment that you are given a car and told this is the only car you would get for the rest of your life. Then you would make sure that you car is taken care of well, it is oiled and detailed every now and then. You would make sure that it never gets rusted, and you would garage it. Think of yourself as that car. You just get 1 body, 1 mind and 1 soul. Take care of it well. Invest in yourself that would be my advice.

You personally know many of the Financial executives who are engineers of the current turmoil in the financial world, surprisingly even after record losses, those executives receive astronomical salaries and bonuses and arrogantly declare that they deserve it, why dint you advice them from making such decisions and what’s your view on their justification for their pay ?

I like sharing my ideas but don’t like imposing my ideas on anybody. It doesn’t make sense and is a waste of time. If somebody has decided that they know everything that is there to know, nobody can help them. The best way to learn and succeed is to know that we know nothing. There is an entire universe out there and still some of us think we can know everything. In the world of investing a few people after making some money tend to imagine they are invincible and great. This is the worst thing that could happen to any investor, because it surely means that the investor will end up taking unnecessary risks and end up losing everything - arrogance, ego and overconfidence are very lethal. Personally I don’t feel too comfortable with too much extravagance, because I always think like an investor. My thought process doesn’t see a lot of value in a fancy car or a designer suit. Thinking like an investor always is very important to bring in a sense of discipline and focus. Before reading balance sheets and investing you need to make sure your outlook and mindset is that of an investor. Never let ego, arrogance and over-confidence control you - not just as an investor but also as a human being. You will never have internal peace if you are unable to look at everybody around you with love, compassion and understanding. Irrespective of who the person is, he or she can teach you something you don’t know. I have learnt so much from people all around me and I wouldn’t have been able to learn all these wonderful things if I had not spoken to them with a smile. To quote Sir Isaac Newton- If I have seen farther than others, it is because I have stood on the shoulders of giants.

“A man has to learn that he cannot command things, but that he can command himself; that he cannot coerce the wills of others, but that he can mold and master his own will: and things serve him who serves truth; people seek guidance of him who is master of himself”

Also Read:

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Safe BankGlobal Finance Magazine is being very very ambitious. Global Finance, which claims to have a readership of 180,000 readers including “chairmen, presidents, CEOs, CFOs, treasurers, and other financial officers” and “8,000 key portfolio investors who control over 80% of all
assets under professional management” has released its 17th annual list of the most creditworthy banks in the world.

Unfortunately, I don’t think they’ve ever had to rate banks in an environment like this. I can’t quite figure out what a safe bank in these circumstances is or if there even are 50 safe banks in the world!

Ratings Agencies

The ratings are based on long-term credit raitngs from agencies like Moody’s, Standard & Poors and Fitch, and on the total assets of the banks themselves. These ratings agencies, however, are the same ones that assigned investment grade ratings to bunches of completely sub-prime real estate CDOs (Collateralized Debt Obligations - basically when a home loan made by a bank to a sub-prime customer, and is then bundled with a higher quality loan, made to a prime customer, is sold as a bunch to a buyer. This process is called securtization, and the loan itself is a collateralized debt).

Selling low grade CDOs with high ratings for great returns is what got us into this whole mess in the first place.

The List

The list includes some of the bigger casualties of the crisis like UBS and Credit Suisse. Both these banks are still under severe pressure and are constantly rumored to be breaking up, or worse, going under. The list in all it’s glory is after the break.

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warren_buffett.jpgIts that time of the year again - where the king of capitalism, the “Oracle of Omaha” himself - Warren E. Buffett sends out Berkshire Hathaway’s (his listed investment and holding company) annual report and with it, his annual letter to shareholders. The letter serves as a de-facto “State of the Economy” address for the United States but also significantly for a number of other markets. In this year’s letter, which is embedded after the break, apart from discussing the operations of Berkshire’s various businesses, also goes into a discussion and explanation of various kinds of financial transactions and instruments. While he does try to stick to generally “Layman’s” language, sometimes he does delve into jargon territory. We’ve tried to explain some of the broad level stuff here before you read the actual letter (which is 22 pages long).

Insurance Business

Buffett spends a great deal of time explaining the insurance business, which is Berkshire’s bread and butter. The insurance business works by taking fees or “premiums” to insure certain events or transactions for a certain amount. For example, one pays a fixed monthly or yearly fee for Life insurance of a certain amount. The trick is to price the premiums such that the premiums and the income generated from investing those premiums are more valuable than the probability-weighted payout. So if the probability of a payout for a certain event, say a car accident, is 1% and the amount of insurance (the payout) is $1000, then the premiums that you collect + the investment income from those premiums, should be more than $10. This calculation is simplistic, but when aggregated over millions of insurance policies, creates the difference between the pay-in and pay-out, which is your profit.

The money that you collect through premiums before you pay anything out is called “float”. This is essentially money in your bank that you can invest wisely and make a good return on. You will probably have to pay a lot of it back in payouts, but only at a later date from when you received it. So the difference between what you get + what it earns and what you have to pay out at a later date is your insurance profit.

This is a big secret of Buffett’s success. His investment ability allows him to earn huge amounts by investing the float from all his insurance businesses. This float is invested either in listed stocks or bonds or for buying operating businesses.

Derivatives

Another subject that Buffett discusses extensively is derivatives. Derivatives are secondary contracts that are ‘derived’ from primary contracts. For example, the simplest form of a derivative is an option. An option is a contract to buy or sell a stock at a given price on a given date. Here, the primary contract is the buying or selling of a stock and the secondary contract is the option to execute that first contract. Contracts can be hugely complicated (the right to buy or sell a stock linked to a currency price linked to a date linked to the creditworthiness of a company can be a derivative contract). These are notoriously hard to value and are considered one of the prime causes behind the current credit crunch.

The letter is after the link. Happy reading.

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Good Time to Sell Art?

February 17, 2009

Continuing with our series on investing in the Art Market - I came across a great article “This isn’t the best time to sell arts” by Nalini Malaviya in the Economic Times. She suggests strategies for people looking to sell their Art in the current hostile market. Her article is given below.
During a financial crunch, [...]

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Warren Buffett’s Secrets to Success

February 7, 2009

He is the richest man in the world! He is also the world’s most respected investor and rightly so, his estimated net worth is $62 billion…Yes, it’s ok to say WOW! He is a man that I greatly admire. Not for his wealth but for his simplicity and pure business genius.
Warren Buffett’s mantra on value [...]

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Who will finance your ‘Great Idea’?

February 4, 2009

In my previous post, “Business Plan: The Core of Entrepreneurship” I wrote about how you should start making a business plan to sell any business idea that you have. And if you’re selling, somebody will have to buy it or in other words finance it.
Getting a new venture financed can prove to be quite a [...]

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The Safest Place for Your Money in 2009

January 31, 2009

Investors who bet their money in 2006 – 2007 would have lost money in 2008. In the current scenario where most markets have collapsed, people are left wondering what to do in 2009. Should I invest in shares/real estate/mutual funds/fixed deposit schemes? The confusion and questions are endless.
If you go by speculation, then the Sensex [...]

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