vzSense

From the category archives:

Economics

Proud to be IndianPress Release issued on 14th September, 2009

India Rejuvenation Initiative (IRI) is a purely non-political and social forum comprising of a few concerned and conscientious citizens working to check corruption and ensure probity in public life for the last three years. Today a day long National Workshop on Forging a Public Movement for Recovery of India’s Stolen Assets (Black Money) from Foreign Countries was organized by IRI at IIC.

You are aware that several reports have appeared in the Press in the last one year or so suggesting that Indian nationals held $1456 billion (about Rs.70 lakh crore) in secret Swiss Bank Accounts. It had also appeared in the Press that the USA, UK, Canada and Italy amongst others had earlier lodged formal requests with the German authorities for supply of details of their respective nationals who held secret accounts in Liechtenstein’s
LTG Bank.

In the light of the above, after detailed discussions, IRI sent three letters to the Prime Minister on November 14, 2008, March 25 and June 29, 2009 wherein Government of India was requested to consider taking the following steps as expeditiously as possible:

  • The UN Convention against Corruption should be ratified immediately.
  • A formal request should be lodged with the German authorities for supplying data relating to Indian nationals.
  • Proceedings should be initiated thereafter to recover stolen assets, the enormous size of which has been indicated above.

In the meantime, UBS AG, Switzerland’s largest bank, has entered into a deferred prosecution agreement with the Department of Justice, USA, paid a fine of $780 million and agreed to provide the names of about 4450 account holders who are suspected to have fraudulently evaded taxes in the United States. Several other countries like the United Kingdom, France and Germany have also come out in the open against tax evaders who have been parking their ill-gotten funds in tax havens spread across the world. It is understood that Government of India have also received 53 names from Liechtenstein’s LTG

Bank but neither the names nor details of action taken by Indian Authorities have been made public. Recently, Swiss Authorities have also reportedly told Government of India that they are not going to give names if India just throws the Telephone Directory at them! It is strange that despite Government being seized of the matter since 2008, it has, so far, not presented
specific cases to them.

Recovery of India’s public money from foreign countries especially Switzerland can go a long way in setting the country firmly on the road to becoming an economic superpower!

For instance,

  • recovery of this amount can wipe off India’s total external debt of about $222 billion
  • meet full cost of world class physical infrastructure - roads, rail, airports, ports and power
  • set up modern education and health infrastructure in the country
  • meet full cost of urban renewal, and
  • meet full costs of relocating and rebuilding 6 lakh modern villages having sewerage, piped water supply, electricity, pucca houses, schools, dispensaries etc.

After day long deliberations in the first National Workshop of its kind organized by India Rejuvenation Initiative (IRI), which was addressed, among several others, by Shri J.M.Lyngdoh (former Chief Election Commissioner), Shri Bhure Lal (former Secretary to GoI), Shri Javid Chowdhury (former Secretary to GoI), Shri J.F.Ribeiro (Former DGP, Punjab Police), Shri S.A.T.Rizvi (former Secretary to GoI) Air Chief Marshal S.Krishnaswamy (Retd.), Shri V.K.Shunglu (former CAG) Prof. Vaidyanathan (Prof. IIM), Shri B.R.Lal (Former DGP, Haryana), Shri Prashant Bhushan (Senior Advocate, SC), Prof.S.K.Dubey (former Director, IIT Kharagpur) it has been unanimously resolved that a vibrant public movement should be built to focus public attention on the systematic loot of public funds over the years and the urgent need to recover India’s public money and take steps to control illicit flow of
funds from India to foreign countries.

Towards this end, it was resolved that Government of India ought to take the following steps:

i. Strengthen the provisions under FEMA on the lines of those provided in the Prevention of Money Laundering Act and make offences under FEMA a “criminal offence”.
ii. Renegotiation of the existing “Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement”

iii. To enter into Agreements and Treaties such as Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs)
iv. Immediately ratify the UN Convention against Corruption (UNCAC)
v. Permissions to foreign financial institutions for setting up branches to operate in India should only be given subject to their firm commitment to cooperate in any of their global branches in the course of an investigation of fiscal offences in India.
vi. Take the leadership of the group of Developing Countries in demanding transparency in financial transactions in foreign countries, in the course of investigation of domestic fiscal offences.
vii. Enact Corrupt Public Servants (Forfeiture of Property) Act
viii. Prescribe procedure for confiscation of benami property under Section 8 of the Benami Transaction Prohibition Act (BTPA), 1988.
ix. Immediately pass The Public Interest Disclosure (Protection of Informers) Bill - 2009 after replacing the word „Informer‟ with „Whistleblower‟
x. Withdraw such Income Tax exemptions under Sec.10A and 10B currently available to IT exports and other exports from EEZs which lead to siphoning of funds to foreign destinations.
xi. Insistence on transparency in the beneficial ownership while allowing transactions in Promissory Notes (PNs)
xii. Take steps to check use of „black money‟ in the electoral process.
xiii. The Law Enforcement Agencies viz. CBI, Enforcement Directorate, Investigative wing of CBDT, Directorate of Revenue Intelligence, should perform their „dharma‟ without any fear and take the cases whether it is Bofors or the one relating to Hasan Ali Khan, the big time Hawala dealer, to its logical conclusion and stop forthwith the practice of intentionally taking the investigation in a direction which is a dead end.
xiv. Publish the names of individuals holding bank accounts in Leichtenstein sent by German Authorities

Since recovery of India’s stolen assets is important to our national pride, in case there is no visible ‘forward’ movement in this regard, steps will be taken to raise public awareness to the next level so that public pressure is brought to bear on both Government of India and foreign countries and particularly Swiss Government so that the country is able to recover its stolen assets and also control illicit flow of funds from India.

The Resolution of the Workshop will be forwarded to the Hon’ble Prime Minister, Union Finance Minister, Union External Affairs Minister, Union Law Minister, Chief Vigilance Commissioner and others for appropriate action. It will be our endeavour to see that the task of recovery of India’s stolen assets is not placed on the backburner and this issue does not fade away from public memory. In this task, we recognize the stellar role that can be played by the media.

We appeal to all sections of society to support this initiative!

{ 2 comments }

1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
Loading ... Loading ...

The Credit Crisis Visually Explained

by karan on March 20, 2009

in Economics, Trends

There is probably not a single person in the world today that hasn’t been affected in some way by the crisis that currently surrounds us. The majority have been affected negatively and a few positively, but everyone HAS been affected.

Not many people, though, and almost no one that has been affected without any direct link to the crisis (by this I mean people that aren’t in finance or finance related positions) actually really knows what happened and how we snowballed into something that comes along once a century.

Jonathan Jarvis, however, is someone who has and he’s managed to create an absolutely fantastic visual explanation of how this mess we’re in occurred. It explains mortgages, subrpime loans, collateralized debt obligations, securitization etc. in simple visual forms. The video is below:


The Crisis of Credit Visualized from Jonathan Jarvis on Vimeo.

{ 8 comments }

1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars (3 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
Loading ... Loading ...

A Primer on Exchange Rates

by karan on February 2, 2009

in Economics, Research

Exchange Rates

I’m sure all of us have at some point of time or the other used foreign currencies, and consequently, have been exposed to exchange rates. But do most of us actually understand how these rates fluctuate and work?

An exchange rate (in its purest, most unregulated form - called a floating rate) basically represents the relative demand of one country’s currency versus another (and indirectly the demand for that country’s goods and services). When one particular currency goes up or down versus another, it means that currency is more or less in demand relative to the other. Currencies are freely traded (bought and sold) like any other goods in a market, known as the Forex (FX or Foreign Exchange) market and the exchange rate is the price of buying and selling currencies.

The main driver of currency exchange rates are interest rates. When a particular country (say the UK) increases its interest rates, then investing in the UK becomes relatively more attractive than before to an American investor. He can now invest in the UK at 5% rather than yesterday’s 4%. This increase in rates means that the Pound (GBP) is now more in demand because of this extra income one can generate. Due to this, the “pound goes up”, which means that it costs more to buy Pounds (because you’re being compensated by the higher interest rates).

Similarly, when demand for American goods and services goes up relative to the UK, then more dollars are required to buy them and the demand for dollars goes up. This means that the “dollar goes up”.

Many other factors affect exchange rates. Tax Cuts, Import Tariffs, The Price of Oil (I’ll write another one on the exact effect here) etc. all affect rates because they change the relative demand for various currencies. Another major factor in the determination of rates is speculation. Speculation (buying or selling currencies expecting them to move the other way for a profit) creates virtual demand or supply. Here, investors or traders are not buying to actually use other currencies but simply making a bet on whether they’ll move up or down. But, whether the end usage is real or not, actual buying and selling of currency does take place, and therefore real prices are affected.

We’ll continue on this theme and hopefully the next time you go abroad, you’ll know why you’re paying more or less than what you paid the last time to buy a foreign currency.

{ 2 comments }

1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
Loading ... Loading ...
Under Construction

Under Construction

According to the CEO of Kotak Realty Fund S Srinivasan, the real estate sector could witness a turnaround in the next two quarters and would see fund flow after that. “It will take at least two quarters before the fund flow to estate developer community begins, and the sector can witness a turnaround,” he said yesterday at a seminar organised by the Gujarat Chamber of Commerce and Industries in Ahmedabad.
“Kotak as a leading realty fund has corpus of Rs 3,500 crore to invest in real estate deals even at the land acquisition stage, out of which so far we have invested Rs 1,200 crore,” Srinivasan added by saying that they intend to invest the balance in the next one to two years. India has been witness to excesses across all sectors in the last three years, including real estate and it will take sometime before the sanity is restored, Srinivasan said. He highlighted the opportunities and challenges in finance, banking for the real estate sector, “as developers we should work in coordination with planners to regulate the frenzy in construction of shopping centres.”
Fortunately or unfortunately the ‘frenzy’ in construction has come to a grinding halt across India due to the sudden drop in demand for both residential and commercial properties. High labour and material costs have also added to the woes of the Realty developers. Not to mention the non-existent cash flows.

According to Srinivasan, the government should impose restriction on construction of malls within a specified catchment area.
I agree Mr Srinivasan, I recently heard of a mall coming up in Greater Kailash in New Delhi, where is the space? GK is already a highly congested area with bad traffic. Doesn’t Delhi have enough malls already? Another important question to ask is, will the coming up malls even break-even? Most existing malls are running into heavy losses with the exception of Select City Walk in Saket.

There is no doubt that currently the real estate sector is in trouble and it will take some time to recover. Experts suggest that realty prices should bottom out in 2009. For those looking to invest, this year should provide many good opportunities. For those already invested, it’s a game of patience assuming that you have the holding capacity. In the real estate businesses past success stories are generally not applicable to new situations. We must continuously reinvent ourselves, responding to changing times with innovative new business models.

{ 0 comments }

1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars (1 votes, average: 4.00 out of 5)
Loading ... Loading ...

Is your Job Safe? 50 Million Job Losses in 2009: ILO

January 29, 2009

The International Labour Organisation (ILO) says in its annual Global Employment Trends report that global unemployment in 2009 could increase over 2007 by a range of 18 million to 30 million workers, and more than 50 million if the situation continues to deteriorate.
Getting pushed into extreme poverty could just be the fate for some 200 [...]

Read the full article →